Tampa Bay Downs is the site of this weekend’s lone”Derby Trail” test with their final leg of a set of 3 races being run in the Tampa Bay Derby. It’s a GII clash for a purse of $350,000, going 1 1/8 mile, for 3yo hopefuls.
The original morning line shows “Uncle Mo” as the 3/5 favorite but if you’ve been following his progress you know he’ll be running at Gulf Stream this Saturday.
So that leaves a field of 9, 3yo derby hopefuls for this important “Derby Trail” clash!
The top four finishers in last month’s GIII Sam F. Davis Stakes here at Tampa Bay Downs have all returned for another crack at a Kentucky Derby gate in Brethren, Too Experience, Watch Me Go and Beamer.
Brethren who won that prep race by 4 lengths will be the one to beat here Saturday. This 3yo is another in a series of hot Todd Pletcher trainee’s this season as it appears he has another real derby contender on his hands here. The rich get richer it seems folks. The 1/1 on the morning line is going to quickly dissolve here Saturday as 2/5 seems more likely by post time.
Too Experience at 8/1, Watch me Go at 12/1 and Beamer at 10/1 all ran well enough in the Sam F. Davis tilt to come out here Saturday for another bit at Brethren but they are all really going to have to step it up here, especially at 1 1/8 mile. We think these odds will shrink here by post time as everyone will be using them in their exotic’s plays.
Free Entry at 7/2 seems the only real challenger of the remaining 5 new comers to the graded stakes ranks here on Saturday. This 3yo is a son of Tale of Cat and a Pulpit mare is 2 for 2 at Gulf Stream this year, winning a mile allowance dust up in his last outing in 1:37.50. But a mile race at Gulf Stream is still a 1-turn affair and this contest is 2-turns and 1 1/8 mile distance. So is he ready for big time racing, he’s got a shot, if he can pick up his game!
Moonhanger at 20/1, Crimson Knight at 30/1 and Strides Ahead at 10/1 are all coming off good showings here at Tamp Bay Downs in Msw’s or Alw’s over a mile their last time’s out. They’re all out of good pedigrees, well trained but short on big time 3yo racing experience.
Economic Summit at 8/1 has a 5th in the GII Nashua Stakes his last trip out but that was last Nov. and “winter rust” and the 1 1/8 mile distance here is formidable task for a first trip out for the year!
So this blog likes Brethren here with his Sam F. Davis running mates and Free Entry all super-sized to get any value here at all!
So this Saturday is Tampa Bay Down’s premier race day of the meet with many stakes and graded stakes contests for us to muse over. Should be a good day of racing there as the Tampa Bay Derby will offer up one of these nine runners a Kentucky Derby gate on May 7th!