In a race reminiscent of last year’s shocking ending to the Florida Derby, this year’s Tampa Bay Derby ending may be even more shocking. The combination of a 43/1 winner in Watch Me Go and a 86/1 runner-up in Crimson Knight sent shock waves around the horse racing world today.
The 1/2 favorite Brethren here finished a tired 3rd back 6 lengths as he suffered the first defeat of his short career and maybe ending his derby hopes too.
What we have here are two 3yo’s who underwent what this old Handicapper calls “Explosive Growth” as sometimes happens with young 3yo’s who find they suddenly have more to give in a Big Time race like this one and it isn’t that rare of an event either. It is why wagering on untested 3yo’s can be very rewarding or very painful, depending on where you put your money.
So although we did have the winning horse and the 3rd place finisher among our early picks Crimson Knight wasn’t amongst them and at 86/1 why would he be. So “dear reader” that’s horse racing for you! “See this shocking outcome replayed below”!
Today at Gulf Stream Park, Uncle Mo (seen above) turned in a very workman-like effort in winning the first ever “Timely Writer” Stakes, going a 1-turn mile in 1:36 and 2 for a purse of $100k.
Uncle Mo did what the top 3yo prospect in the country was supposed to do here today. He toyed with this field on the backstretch, made it look interesting on the far turn then shut everyone down in the stretch run as he glided away to win handily in a wire to wire victory.
So Uncle Mo has shook off the winter blues here today with this win and will either make his way up to the “Big Apple” for the “Wood Memorial” at Aqueduct in early April or maybe the Florida Derby here at Gulf Stream park in about the same time frame on the road to Louisville and a Kentucky Derby date!
Oh and P.S. “Uncle Mo” covered the last 1/4 in 22:87 and did it with no urgingat all from jockey Johny V. tells you all you need to know about him going forward!!!!
You got $2.10 across the board on Mo and pick up $11.60 on your Trifecta play, if you bother at all! Video replay below!
Don’t want to spend your whole day in Florida horse racing heaven on Saturday then check out these two big Graded Stakes contests at Santa Anita Park.
Santa Anita Park is hosting two important Graded Stakes contests in the GII San Felipe Stakes for 3yo derby hopefuls and the GI Santa Margarita Invitational Stakes for 4yo and up fillies & Mares.
TheSan Felipe is an interesting 3yo test, going 1 1/16 mile, for $250k, with some top 3yo names running like Jaycito in his first run of the year, Comma on the Top, trying to make amends for that awful El Camino Derby start, up at Golden Gate Park last month. Some new names likes Albergatti and RunFlatOut will try their luck at the Graded Stakes level. Other favorites are, Awesome Patriot and Premier Pegasus in a field of 10!
Look for 1 of these 6 to take the win and we’d super these 6 in multiple trys as it might payoff handsomely in this big field!
The favorite in this field of 7 is Switch at 1/1 is the heir-apparent to the Big Z, now with foal, in the Female Handicap Division out here. She can run all day and on just about any surface too and did give the Big Z a hard time down the stretch in the GI Ladys Secret last Oct. here at Santa Anita.
St Trinians at 3/1 also gave the Big Z a hard run in their only meet up last year that put St Trinians sidelines for the rest of 2010. She was a close 3rd last month in the 7f GII Santa Monica Stakes here as a first trip out for the year and look good in doing it, She’s going to factor in the decision here too.
Always a Princess at 3/1 ran the lights out here at Santa Anita last month in the GII La Canada Stakes. She was on the lead all the way that day, in sprint-like factions and still got the win. She’ll be there once again!
So these 3 in your exactas and trifectas then super up (if available) the final 4 runners here as one of them will finish 4th!
So there’s a big race day at Santa Anita Park as well this Saturday on a very busy race day country-wide!
Tampa Bay Downs is the site of this weekend’s lone”Derby Trail” test with their final leg of a set of 3 races being run in the Tampa Bay Derby. It’s a GII clash for a purse of $350,000, going 1 1/8 mile, for 3yo hopefuls.
The original morning line shows “Uncle Mo” as the 3/5 favorite but if you’ve been following his progress you know he’ll be running at Gulf Stream this Saturday.
So that leaves a field of 9, 3yo derby hopefuls for this important “Derby Trail” clash!
The top four finishers in last month’s GIII Sam F. Davis Stakes here at Tampa Bay Downs have all returned for another crack at a Kentucky Derby gate in Brethren, Too Experience, Watch Me Go and Beamer.
Brethren who won that prep race by 4 lengths will be the one to beat here Saturday. This 3yo is another in a series of hot Todd Pletcher trainee’s this season as it appears he has another real derby contender on his hands here. The rich get richer it seems folks. The 1/1 on the morning line is going to quickly dissolve here Saturday as 2/5 seems more likely by post time.
Too Experience at 8/1, Watch me Go at 12/1 and Beamer at 10/1 all ran well enough in the Sam F. Davis tilt to come out here Saturday for another bit at Brethren but they are all really going to have to step it up here, especially at 1 1/8 mile. We think these odds will shrink here by post time as everyone will be using them in their exotic’s plays.
Free Entry at 7/2 seems the only real challenger of the remaining 5 new comers to the graded stakes ranks here on Saturday. This 3yo is a son of Tale of Cat and a Pulpit mare is 2 for 2 atGulf Stream this year, winning a mile allowance dust up in his last outing in 1:37.50. But a mile race at Gulf Stream is still a 1-turn affair and this contest is 2-turns and 1 1/8 mile distance. So is he ready for big time racing, he’s got a shot, if he can pick up his game!
Moonhanger at 20/1, Crimson Knight at 30/1 and Strides Ahead at 10/1 are all coming off good showings here at Tamp Bay Downs in Msw’s or Alw’s over a mile their last time’s out. They’re all out of good pedigrees, well trained but short on big time 3yo racing experience.
Economic Summit at 8/1 has a 5th in the GII Nashua Stakes his last trip out but that was last Nov. and “winter rust” and the 1 1/8 mile distance here is formidable task for a first trip out for the year!
So this blog likes Brethren here with his Sam F. Davis running mates and Free Entry all super-sized to get any value here at all!
So this Saturday is Tampa Bay Down’s premier race day of the meet with many stakes and graded stakes contests for us to muse over. Should be a good day of racing there as the Tampa Bay Derby will offer up one of these nine runners a Kentucky Derby gate on May 7th!